Currency
spot trading is the most popular foreign currency instrument around the world,
making up 37 percent of the total activity.
The
fast-paced spot market is not for the faint hearted, as it features high
volatility and quick profits (and losses). A spot deal consists of a bilateral contract
whereby a party delivers a specified amount of a given currency against receipt
of a specified amount of another currency from a counter party based on an
agreed exchange rate, within two business days of the deal date. The exception
is the Canadian dollar, in which the spot delivery is executed next business
day.
The
name "spot" does not mean that the currency exchange occurs the same
business day the deal is executed. Currency transactions that require same-day
delivery are called cash transactions. The two-day spot delivery of currencies
was developed long before technological breakthroughs in information
processing.
This
time period was necessary to check out all transaction details among counterparties.
Although technologically feasible, the contemporary markets did not find it
necessary to reduce the time to make payments. Human errors still occur and
they need to be fixed before delivery. When currency deliveries are made to the
wrong party, fines are imposed. In terms of volume, currencies around the world
are traded mostly against the U.S. dollar, because the U.S. dollar is the
currency of reference.
The
other major currencies are the euro, followed by the Japanese yen, the British
pound, and the Swiss franc. Other currencies with significant spot market
shares are the Canadian dollar and the Australian dollar. In addition, a
significant share of trading takes place in the currency crosses, a non-dollar
instrument whereby foreign currencies are quoted against other foreign
currencies, such as the euro against the Japanese yen.
There
are several reasons for the popularity of currency spot trading. Profits (or
losses) are realized quickly in the spot market, due to market volatility. In
addition, since spot deals mature in only two business days, the time exposure
to credit risk is limited. Turnover in the spot market has been increasing
dramatically, thanks to the combination of inherent profitability and reduced
credit risk. The spot market is characterized by high liquidity and high
volatility. Volatility is the degree to which the price of currency tends to fluctuate
within a certain period of time. Free-floating currencies, such as the euro or
the Japanese yen, tend to be volatile against the U.S. dollar.
In
an active global trading day (24 hours), the euro/dollar exchange rate may
change its value 18,000 times. An exchange rate may "fly" 200 pips in
a matter of seconds if the market gets wind of a significant event. On the other
hand, the exchange rate may remain quite static for extended periods of time,
even in excess of an hour, when one market is almost finished trading and
waiting for the next market to take over. This is a common occurrence toward
the end of the New York trading day. Since California failed in the late 1980s
to provide the link between the New York and Tokyo markets, there is a
technical trading gap between around 4:30 pm and 6 pm EDT. In the United States
spot market, the majority of deals is executed between 8 am and noon, when the
New York and European markets overlap. The activity drops sharply in the
afternoon, over 50 percent in fact, when New York loses the international
trading support. Overnight trading is limited, as very few banks have overnight
desks. Most of the banks send their overnight orders to branches or other banks
that operate in the active time zones.
The
major traders in the spot market are the commercial banks and the investment
banks, followed by hedge funds and corporate customers. In the interbank
market, the majority of the deals is international, reflecting worldwide
exchange rate competition and advanced telecommunication systems. However,
corporate customers tend to focus their foreign exchange activity domestically,
or to trade through foreign banks operating in the same time zone. Although the
hedge funds' and corporate customers' business in foreign exchange has been
growing, banks remain the predominant trading force.
The
bottom line is important in all financial markets, but in currency spot trading
the antes always seem to be higher as a result of the demand from all around
the world. The profit and loss can be either realized or unrealized. The
realized profit and loss is a certain amount of money netted when a position is
closed. The unrealized profit and loss consists of an uncertain amount of money
that an outstanding position would roughly generate if it were closed at the current
rate. The unrealized profit and loss changes continuously in tandem with the
exchange rate.
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